Maps

Sweden at 40.0 m sea level rise. This is the approximate rise if all ice sheets outside East Antarctic melt, plus 50% of East Antarctic. Maps, with and without labels, are centered on 6900000, 600000 (SWEREF 99 TM). Sea and land altitude refers to present sea level, flooded surfaces are in violet. Sea level rise (SLR) above present sea level.

Click map previews below to get full scale maps. Legend is here.


When?

Depending on method chosen, the time when 40.0 m sea level rise is predicted to be reached varies widely. Here are a few examples based on linear extrapolation on the average sea level rise since the last glacial maximum, approximately 135 m in 21,000 years (Post-Glacial), and on extrapolation of curves fitted to NASA satellite data 1993.0-2019.3, stating Method, coefficient of determination (R2), Year CE/AD, Lower and Upper 99.9% confidence intervals limit years, using Linear, Square, Cubic and Exponential regression.

MethodR2YearLowerUpper
Post-Glacial-8079--
Linear0.976142221402414427
Square0.986287828312936
Cubic0.988224122222269
Exponential0.987222522222228

Consequences

Interactive table showing consequences, like land loss and population displacement, for all of Sweden and all Swedish communes, at 40.0 m sea level rise.

Click highlighted table headings to sort table according to their values, toggling ascending and descending. Sorting requires Javascript enabled and may take several seconds. Swedish "åäö" are incorrectly sorted as "äåö". Table explanation is here.

Commune
name
Land areaPopulation
Total
(km2)
LossTotal
(n)
Displaced
(km2)(%)(n)(%)
Sweden407339.2339738.819.89995153551281355.2
Stockholm187.17158.4484.793561980343585.9
Göteborg447.76260.4458.255664035753564.2
Malmö156.87148.1694.432849432201698.0
Uppsala2182.801515.7669.421455920496995.5
Linköping1427.4467.864.8155817106086.8
Västerås957.89604.3863.114742013463791.3
Örebro1373.15430.9531.414663111265176.8
Helsingborg344.01188.1154.71405478780962.5
Norrköping1495.05773.3151.713936311307481.1
Jönköping1480.360.000.013529700.0
Umeå2316.61673.2129.11228929887680.5
Lund427.23198.8546.51185425256344.3
Borås909.900.000.010988000.0
Huddinge131.0148.1536.81075386357959.1
Eskilstuna1099.87675.3961.41036849706893.6
Gävle1613.37516.1732.0997888675886.9
Nacka95.1266.0369.4993596993370.4
Halmstad1014.13301.1129.7985388459985.9
Sundsvall3189.61216.196.8983254617047.0
Södertälje525.15301.3257.4946314438546.9
Botkyrka194.1777.0539.7906755363359.1
Karlstad1150.520.000.09019800.0
Växjö1665.510.000.08950000.0
Haninge458.07325.8871.1856933669242.8
Kristianstad1246.25714.4957.3831917554590.8
Kungsbacka606.67288.6447.6804426810784.7
Solna19.3019.1499.2781297715998.8
Luleå2094.181237.6759.1767707483697.5
Järfälla53.8142.9779.9744126326685.0
Skellefteå6802.85875.0212.9722665080570.3
Sollentuna52.6446.3388.0710236455290.9
Täby60.7257.0694.0693866468493.2
Kalmar956.90621.7865.0665716442696.8
Karlskrona1042.21371.7935.7662625456482.3
Mölndal145.8437.9226.0644653717957.7
Varberg868.71374.1443.1618685483588.6
Östersund2208.310.000.06174500.0
Norrtälje2016.041894.3394.0594205853598.5
Gotland3134.052345.0274.8580033134654.0
Trollhättan409.8815.373.75775326344.6
Falun2040.130.000.05768500.0
Örnsköldsvik6376.46314.804.9559642846250.9
Uddevalla637.69127.9320.1551642434044.1
Nyköping1420.84832.7058.6549245020691.4
Skövde673.680.000.05413300.0
Hässleholm1268.53112.878.95166751199.9
Borlänge583.870.000.05160400.0
Sundbyberg8.678.5999.1477504732499.1
Tyresö69.2540.9059.1471032702257.4
Lidingö30.8028.8293.6468534298491.7
Sigtuna327.40295.2990.2462744247591.8
Landskrona140.28102.9673.4446114145992.9
Trelleborg339.87229.9867.7439133939989.7
Upplands Väsby75.0968.3691.0438914224196.2
Falkenberg1108.89296.4826.7438673528080.4
Österåker312.40248.8179.6432933984492.0
Kungälv362.59210.0957.9432893167273.2
Motala983.490.000.04325800.0
Enköping1178.50947.2180.4429884169097.0
Värmdö448.03437.2597.6420004041996.2
Piteå3086.95706.7522.9419043975094.9
Ängelholm420.06213.7450.9413363440483.2
Lerum258.617.552.940692804619.8
Alingsås472.030.000.04004500.0
Lidköping695.610.000.03923500.0
Vänersborg642.702.040.338955800.2
Sandviken1166.400.000.03894900.0
Partille56.8310.2118.0373161461039.2
Hudiksvall2488.89457.7418.4372992254260.4
Härryda266.780.450.23710890.0
Västervik1871.56722.9638.6364382948280.9
Vellinge142.61131.1892.0352573459498.1
Strängnäs739.70563.7976.2346093015687.1
Mark929.2581.908.834218438612.8
Värnamo1216.000.000.03390600.0
Katrineholm1020.19242.4923.833722630518.7
Eslöv419.0648.3611.532878411112.5
Falköping1044.980.000.03280600.0
Vallentuna358.36243.7868.0327852633780.3
Danderyd26.4024.2191.7326533095394.8
Karlshamn488.68173.2235.4321302565779.9
Nässjö930.290.000.03082000.0
Karlskoga468.230.000.03053800.0
Kävlinge152.56147.1096.4305323045199.7
Ale316.5144.7114.1295491602154.2
Gislaved1137.080.000.02947800.0
Ystad350.08189.6354.2294482577087.5
Ronneby825.34244.2529.6292072080871.2
Boden4007.86423.8310.6280422514289.7
Ljungby1747.900.000.02800800.0
Nynäshamn358.76240.6467.1277522147177.4
Ekerö217.68211.6797.2274062668297.4
Vetlanda1500.510.000.02724100.0
Oskarshamn1049.49490.2246.7270062379588.1
Ludvika1490.420.000.02693300.0
Bollnäs1814.350.000.02692900.0
Upplands-Bro235.47191.2581.2267552547495.2
Mjölby546.040.000.02670800.0
Arvika1649.060.000.02605400.0
Söderhamn1060.77318.0130.0259922057579.2
Köping604.55244.8840.5259502248386.6
Höganäs150.84137.4191.1258472514797.3
Stenungsund251.9162.8925.0258151582461.3
Härnösand1058.36102.769.7252691442657.1
Kristinehamn753.120.000.02467100.0
Laholm882.96186.6721.1246641600464.9
Mariestad601.180.000.02421500.0
Lomma55.5255.52100.02388723887100.0
Ulricehamn1046.020.000.02388700.0
Lindesberg1377.59153.7211.223744393016.6
Staffanstorp106.82106.3199.5236002358799.9
Kiruna19140.330.000.02316700.0
Avesta613.250.000.02316100.0
Sala1166.850.030.02235320.0
Östhammar1475.281349.5691.5218222114796.9
Finspång1055.2823.952.321526393418.3
Kumla204.1840.6819.92133419159.0
Svedala218.0559.0627.120771616129.7
Tierp1547.781125.0772.7207441698881.9
Håbo143.75123.2585.7207371858889.6
Nybro1171.690.160.02031100.0
Mora2812.560.000.02027900.0
Alvesta974.190.000.01985000.0
Sollefteå5397.8247.620.919846437922.1
Simrishamn391.36129.7833.2194851225762.9
Ljusdal5256.700.000.01906700.0
Skara428.650.000.01897900.0
Tranås402.660.000.01879400.0
Sjöbo492.1767.7613.818742221411.8
Kramfors1694.76239.9014.2186811243066.5
Timrå783.3096.5212.3179921033557.4
Gällivare15705.150.000.01795600.0
Burlöv18.9018.90100.01764617646100.0
Sölvesborg185.31155.9284.1174371662895.4
Knivsta282.17235.1083.3173231597892.2
Klippan374.3269.4318.5172191004258.3
Eksjö799.480.000.01712900.0
Flen718.83280.6039.016830954756.7
Älmhult890.780.000.01661800.0
Salem54.0931.4558.116615787447.4
Kalix1807.67837.6346.3162231557896.0
Höör290.850.000.01619200.0
Hallstahammar170.70111.1065.1158431379687.1
Vara696.930.000.01578800.0
Hammarö39.150.000.01572500.0
Hallsberg636.7114.402.3156496133.9
Vimmerby1140.230.060.01563600.0
Säffle1259.810.000.01563300.0
Tjörn167.36129.7077.5155841288282.7
Åstorp92.2269.4075.3155281320385.0
Leksand1221.230.000.01550700.0
Hedemora835.100.000.01546100.0
Skurup193.5875.8139.215408411226.7
Hörby419.410.000.01528300.0
Bjuv115.2842.8637.2152021023767.3
Orust386.52181.5847.015093810153.7
Mörbylånga666.79589.9688.5149161284286.1
Krokom6155.180.000.01484300.0
Båstad209.7970.1933.514614734550.3
Hultsfred1121.520.000.01460700.0
Lysekil208.45118.4856.8145701032670.9
Östra Göinge431.9688.9120.614406449131.2
Söderköping673.85317.5347.114402999969.4
Svalöv387.3047.2912.213919388527.9
Arboga325.43236.2272.6139031230988.5
Heby1166.8160.495.2137559046.6
Lilla Edet316.2365.6420.813728800558.3
Vaggeryd824.940.000.01364400.0
Fagersta269.040.000.01344500.0
Sunne1288.110.000.01342500.0
Olofström389.797.281.9134172541.9
Mönsterås599.46412.0468.7133951270294.8
Tomelilla395.9417.464.4133304123.1
Götene404.540.000.01327500.0
Osby576.240.000.01314900.0
Strömstad467.48205.6944.0130791068181.7
Åmål481.120.000.01280100.0
Tidaholm518.060.000.01279700.0
Öckerö25.7425.7199.91277312771100.0
Bromölla162.5088.6454.5126251220796.7
Tanum917.24245.4826.812606717256.9
Trosa209.73170.0181.1124471179694.8
Tingsryd1044.880.000.01239300.0
Lycksele5518.490.000.01218700.0
Torsby4162.190.000.01216900.0
Oxelösund35.3935.39100.01192111921100.0
Hagfors1824.170.000.01191700.0
Strömsund10465.080.000.01180900.0
Kil359.730.000.01180000.0
Tranemo741.270.000.01177600.0
Ovanåker1873.310.000.01163100.0
Vaxholm57.8854.4094.0116211160399.8
Åtvidaberg686.6210.201.5116171431.2
Habo328.520.000.01158600.0
Forshaga348.180.000.01145100.0
Sävsjö679.050.000.01139600.0
Vårgårda426.600.000.01129500.0
Askersund815.990.000.01128200.0
Åre7199.450.000.01108800.0
Säter570.330.000.01108600.0
Tibro220.650.000.01107000.0
Filipstad1534.030.000.01096000.0
Hylte946.080.000.01095400.0
Borgholm678.65659.0197.1109301036594.8
Smedjebacken947.920.000.01090900.0
Gnesta461.24212.5546.110861873180.4
Rättvik1920.660.000.01085600.0
Svenljunga919.760.000.01067900.0
Nora618.490.000.01066500.0
Nykvarn152.7658.1938.110424450643.2
Munkedal634.0147.877.610361262625.3
Härjedalen11286.100.000.01020000.0
Gagnef767.150.000.01017500.0
Malung-Sälen4085.060.000.01009100.0
Surahammar343.810.000.01005900.0
Markaryd517.190.000.0999100.0
Örkelljunga319.550.000.0995800.0
Årjäng1409.470.000.0995800.0
Bengtsfors882.930.000.0994000.0
Kinda1129.470.000.0987400.0
Haparanda922.76516.8756.09864962597.6
Gnosjö420.580.000.0961500.0
Degerfors383.980.000.0960900.0
Hofors409.940.000.0956400.0
Nordanstig1370.64136.9810.09511248326.1
Uppvidinge1171.880.000.0950800.0
Ånge3051.360.000.0949500.0
Herrljunga497.550.000.0948600.0
Älvkarleby214.98187.7887.39445936299.1
Töreboda539.850.000.0943500.0
Emmaboda689.700.000.0934800.0
Mellerud516.800.000.0932300.0
Bollebygd263.190.000.0910200.0
Vingåker370.2750.5913.79099353038.8
Sotenäs138.2178.9457.19065746982.4
Grums386.380.000.0906300.0
Hjo297.040.000.0904800.0
Lessebo412.550.000.0876000.0
Vännäs529.490.000.0869500.0
Eda820.180.000.0852600.0
Kungsör202.65142.3470.28432809095.9
Älvsbyn1698.0414.090.88193260931.8
Valdemarsvik733.82377.5251.47809394150.5
Lekeberg463.160.000.0763600.0
Vadstena181.910.000.0734800.0
Perstorp158.780.000.0733800.0
Mullsjö200.160.000.0722600.0
Hällefors984.950.000.0713800.0
Nordmaling1229.42247.5120.17132518372.7
Berg5711.340.000.0708100.0
Torsås468.41194.6741.67063583782.6
Älvdalen6871.510.000.0703900.0
Karlsborg405.870.000.0691300.0
Vansbro1539.570.000.0688400.0
Orsa1730.850.000.0686100.0
Vilhelmina8047.870.000.0680500.0
Robertsfors1292.21391.7630.36784325047.9
Färgelanda588.980.000.0662700.0
Aneby517.760.000.0660300.0
Bräcke3408.200.000.0649200.0
Arvidsjaur5655.970.000.0644200.0
Pajala7840.190.000.0611600.0
Högsby751.110.170.0608000.0
Storuman7303.530.000.0589900.0
Ockelbo1064.970.000.0585600.0
Norberg417.800.000.0579500.0
Grästorp264.680.000.0572100.0
Laxå601.970.000.0570900.0
Essunga234.610.000.0562000.0
Ragunda2511.140.400.0541510.0
Vindeln2629.370.000.0541300.0
Boxholm525.770.000.0537300.0
Ödeshög430.420.000.0533500.0
Gullspång312.890.000.0530700.0
Jokkmokk17614.320.000.0510500.0
Ljusnarsberg575.540.000.0500600.0
Dals-Ed724.340.000.0477700.0
Övertorneå2362.072.020.1453410.0
Skinnskatteberg659.430.000.0442900.0
Norsjö1739.450.000.0412500.0
Storfors391.470.000.0404600.0
Munkfors141.580.000.0373800.0
Ydre675.420.000.0367500.0
Överkalix2764.5321.950.8337855116.3
Malå1598.950.000.0310000.0
Arjeplog12556.770.000.0287600.0
Åsele4223.790.000.0287500.0
Dorotea2764.920.000.0271900.0
Sorsele7368.440.000.0253500.0
Bjurholm1306.750.000.0245400.0

Sea level rises

Other sea level rises with consequence tables.